This week's full report.
Indicators have aligned to suggest upward movement in consumption.
This week's full report.
Indicators have aligned to suggest upward movement in consumption.
The polls have altered the landscape, ever so slightly. While there have been several polls, none really changed much, except for Nevada, back on January 11.
Yep, time for the review of electricity consumption... MINE!
This week's full report.
Mixed messages on consumption.
This week's full report.
This week's full report.
This week's full report.
It is January, and the monthly bill has arrived.
This week's full report.
I previously posted that unless the EVs changed, I would attempt to avoid posting. They have changed.
The main change was Pennsylvania easing a bit from the (R) candidate. Simply put... the polls indicate a slight edge to DEM, but historically has under-reported REP votes in general elections, by 3%. Even with that latter adjustment, the result falls into the margin of error.
This week's full report.
Florida is next up and the polls for the state, tend to slightly overstate the democrat support, while understating the republican support. Thus Florida with its 30 EVs moves the needle to R-219 and D-203.
Virginia (13) keeps getting into the toss-up category. It puzzles me as to why, as it will very likely vote the democrat candidate and has a stellar polling v result score, imo. Thus R-219 and D-216.
I will lump Arizona (11) and Georgia (16) together, as they both have been consistently correct in polling matching outcomes. Polls seem to indicate a fairly strong republican tendency, which translates to R-246 and D-216.
Might as well get Wisconsin (10) out of the way. Of all the states with polling discrepancies, compared to results... Wisconsin is very high on the list, with a 6.5 variance, which tends to favor republicans. Polling greatly underestimates republican support and overestimates democrat support, when compared to general election results. Having stated that, the narrow polling margin, which is slightly in favor of Trump, indicates R-256 and D-216.
That leaves 66 electoral votes to decide the election.
I haven't even gotten to North Carolina (16), which appears almost certain to fall into the R column. Now it is R-272 and D-216.
Now for Michigan (15) and Pennsylvania (19). Two states, which closely follow Wisconsin in under-reporting republican support and overstating democrat support. That both states are indicating a republican advantage, before looking at previous polling errors, it seems appropriate to throw them into the repubican slot. R-306 and D-216.
Nevada you say. Nevada (6) is currently leaning R, but previous history, indicates under-reporting democrat support. Still a slight edge for R, but very slight. Now it is R-306, D-216, and T-6.
Then there is the curious case of Minnesota (10), which has historically been polled with Rs being underestimated, and Ds being overestimated, compared to general election. That polling is currently very narrow, which could possibly be a problem for Dems.
R-306, D-216, and T-16.
There is a lot of time left to change things. Of course, there is always time to change things... until time runs out.
I will resist the temptation to post frequently, but if those EVs change, then I might jump in.
This week's full report.
A quick summary of this week's report.
This week's full report . Gasoline fell -2.3¢ for the week, but remains +10.3¢ from year ago level. Consumption did edge up this past r...