Thursday, January 11, 2024

A Foray into the 2024 Presidential Election, Part IX

I previously posted that unless the EVs changed, I would attempt to avoid posting. They have changed.

The main change was Pennsylvania easing a bit from the (R) candidate. Simply put... the polls indicate a slight edge to DEM, but historically has under-reported REP votes in general elections, by 3%. Even with that latter adjustment, the result falls into the margin of error. 


Possibly some further shifting in weeks ahead, although the next polls might swing in the other direction.

IF the toss-ups are indeed DEM, then the issue would still be another 19 EVs for a DEM victory. That is possible, but quite an uphill battle, imho. However, the voting public can be quite fickle.


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