Thursday, January 11, 2024

A Foray into the 2024 Presidential Election, Part IX

I previously posted that unless the EVs changed, I would attempt to avoid posting. They have changed.

The main change was Pennsylvania easing a bit from the (R) candidate. Simply put... the polls indicate a slight edge to DEM, but historically has under-reported REP votes in general elections, by 3%. Even with that latter adjustment, the result falls into the margin of error. 


Possibly some further shifting in weeks ahead, although the next polls might swing in the other direction.

IF the toss-ups are indeed DEM, then the issue would still be another 19 EVs for a DEM victory. That is possible, but quite an uphill battle, imho. However, the voting public can be quite fickle.


No comments:

Post a Comment

This Week in Petroleum Summary May 8th, 2024 per EIA.GOV

This week's  full report . Gasoline fell -2.3¢ for the week, but remains +10.3¢ from year ago level. Consumption did edge up this past r...