Wednesday, August 3, 2022

Review of EIA Weekly Report for August 3rd 2022

I am still looking for the demand destruction in gasoline... and just not seeing it. There was likely a pull back in June and early July, but demand seems to be on a plateau. Crude Inventory is up +4.4M BBLs, distillates down -2.4M BBLs and gasoline up slightly at 163K barrels.

The U.S. exported 3.8M BBLs more Crude and Petroleum products, than imported, with the tally from March 1st at 151.1M BBLs. Gasoline exports outweighed imports by 1.6M BBLs last week and that tally now stands at 19.9M BBLs since March 1st.


At this point in time, the futures market suggests pump prices will continue to fall and should go below the $4 mark, by mid August and then maybe another 15¢ or so by end of month. A word of caution as we are heading into peak hurricane season. Let's keep our fingers crossed. 

The natural gas futures aren't signaling any big changes...
I have somewhat delved into U.K. futures and the current price is suggestive of a 49% rise in bill to £2,972 annual. I have been reading about another potential rise for 1st of the year and it would tack on another £600 annual, based on the December futures price. I don't think I have any publicly appropriate adjectives for any of those rises. 

Nearer to home, the big question is our natural gas.
A year ago, we were at the top of the 5 year maximum and now we are near the minimum. Not sure how to feel about that. I do not directly use natural gas, but I do use electric generated by natural gas, products that were made in factories that use natural gas, etc. 

I'll just have to monitor my utility bills, my grocery bills, other purchases, etc. I think there is a word for when things go up in price... is it transitory? No wait it is inflation! Crap, I thought I left that in the rear view mirror... some 40 years ago. 


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