Friday, November 24, 2023

A Foray into the 2024 Presidential Election, Part Two

A quick update on my latest review of polls and the presidential election.

A lot of time remaining and things could change. Currently, Biden is slipping in these states, with the exception of Virginia. 

Trump is also slipping in a few states, such as Pennsylvania, Nevada, Iowa, Florida and Arizona. He is easing up in Michigan and North Carolina. 

IF the election were today, Trump would get 302 EVs, to Biden's 236. The safety numbers seem to be 235 for Trump and 226 for Biden. 

All of this is assuming that Trump will be the eventual republican nominee and Biden will be the democrat nominee. 

Realistically, Trump would be disruptive to the election, if he were not the republican nominee, and there is no one ready among the democrats, to step in for Biden.

We are stuck with these as the selections, although 3rd party involvement could be a factor, as things stand now. RFK Jr. does seem to be polling some double digit numbers, which appear to be affecting both D and R in the polls. 

While it is sad to think these are the options, it is fun to watch the hysteria.

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