Wednesday, May 15, 2024

5/15/2024, Advance Retail Sales Report for April Data

Advance Monthly Sales for Retail and Food Services, April Report.

Advance estimates of U.S. retail and food services sales for April 2024, adjusted for seasonal variation and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes, were $705.2 billion, virtually unchanged (±0.4 percent)* from the previous month, but up 3.0 percent (±0.5 percent) above April 2023. Total sales for the February 2024 through April 2024 period were up 3.0 percent (±0.5 percent) from the same period a year ago. The February 2024 to March 2024 percent change was revised from up 0.7 percent (±0.5 percent) to up 0.6 percent (±0.1 percent).

Retail trade sales were virtually unchanged (±0.4 percent)* from March 2024, but up 2.7 percent (±0.5 percent) above last year. Nonstore retailers were up 7.5 percent (±1.6 percent) from last year, while food services and drinking places were up 5.5 percent (±2.1 percent) from April 2023.

WOW! The revisions were substantial and long term...


Can't remember such a sea of downward revisions.

The result, when adjusted for inflation...


Whatever the reasons for the downward revisions, the trend line for actual purchases, when adjusted for inflation is slipping downward.


There clearly is a demand drop, but whether due to inflation causing budgets to tighten... who really knows.

It should be noted the following groupings, do seem to be waning on both annual and month to month...

  • Furniture and home furniture stores
  • Health and personal care stores
  • Sporting goods, hobby, musical etc.
For whatever reason, we do seem to be cutting back in some areas.




 

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