Wednesday, December 14, 2022

Crude, Distillate, and Gasoline Inventories - Dec. 14th 2022

Weekly EIA report.

Crude stocks rose 10.2 M barrels, from last week; Distillates increased another +1.3M Barrels; and Gasoline increased +4.5M barrels. The SPR slid -4.8M barrels.

Refining continues at a high rate of efficiency, as the inventory gasoline, distillates, etc. continued to grow. Even in spite of continued high exports of gasoline. Gasoline consumption slipped -9.5% from year ago levels on the 4 week average and another -1.8% from previous week's average, to a level of last February.
Pump prices continue to fall and might just make that $3 national average at Christmas. However, I may just fill up the tank this weekend, as I think the floor is near in regards to that national average, in my humble opinion. ($3.08? Which is 13¢ above my estimate last week)
The overall is in decent shape, year over year, but a couple of areas are still under stress. While I am not showing a graph of the significant drop in distillate consumption, it does raise the question of why is both gasoline and diesel consumption dropping so much in December, instead of the usual late January to February slump?

Along with that thought, is the impact energy has on the overall inflation picture and what happens when it bottoms and begins to rise again? But then, why is it falling so much at this point? Lower consumption? Great, but why?

I always hear about how the FED watches this report, or that report, etc. I found it odd, that no mention was made of the FED's own Median CPI. It was 7.0%, year over year, just like last month. NO CHANGE! Am I believe the FED creates a report, that they do not watch?

I have so many questions.

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