Sunday, May 19, 2024

A Foray into the 2024 Presidential Election, Part XVI

Really not seeing any major shifts, although the Minnesota margin widened ever so slightly. Still too difficult to read.

The unadjusted polls indicate no major shifts.


It does appear the numbers are slipping for Trump, but Biden is slipping more. Previous blog indicated 43.9%~43.4%, infavor of Trump. Trump is down -0.1%, with Biden down -0.3%.


In any case, the electoral map indicates 312 EVs for Trump, and 216 Evs for Biden. Minnesota's 10 remains in toss-up territory. 

We are still 170 days from the election, and things could change... although a major shift is required, when evaluating previous election polls at this time, compared to results.

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